How Can Pakistan still qualify for Champions Trophy 2025 semis?

Pakistan’s journey in the Champions Trophy 2025 has been anything but smooth. Their campaign started with a 60-run defeat against New Zealand, severely denting their chances of defending the title. The highly anticipated clash against India only made things worse, as Pakistan suffered another disappointing loss, further dimming their semifinal hopes. Question arises Can Pakistan still qualify for Champions Trophy 2025 semis?

Despite back-to-back defeats, Pakistan is not entirely out of the tournament. Their fate now rests on other teams’ performances and their own ability to bounce back strongly. While the road ahead is challenging, cricket is known for its unpredictability, and a narrow path to the semi-finals still exists, though it relies heavily on favorable results from other teams. 

What Pakistan needs to qualify

For Pakistan to secure a semifinal spot, three crucial results must go in their favor: 

Bangladesh must beat New Zealand on February 24 – A win for Bangladesh would prevent New Zealand from reaching four points, keeping the group wide open. 

Pakistan must defeat Bangladesh on February 27 with a convincing margin – A big win is essential to boost Pakistan’s net run rate (NRR), which could be the deciding factor. 

India must beat New Zealand on March 2 with a good margin – If India defeats New Zealand comprehensively, it will restrict New Zealand to two points and their NRR will also drop, giving Pakistan a chance to overtake them. 

Can Pakistan pull off a miracle?

Even if all these results align, Pakistan’s net run rate will ultimately determine their fate. A massive win over Bangladesh and a heavy defeat for New Zealand against India are non-negotiable. If Pakistan’s NRR surpasses New Zealand’s, they could sneak into the semi-finals despite their poor start. 

While the situation looks bleak, cricket has often produced stunning turnarounds. Pakistan fans will be hoping for a miracle, but first, they must do their part—win big against Bangladesh and wait for the other pieces to fall into place. 

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